There is certain news published about a business house / tech startup / retail business , and the social media ( LinkedIn) , news papers and business mags are flooded with business analysts and crystal ball gazers making predictions ...
- Its a BUBBLE ...
- Let the COMPETITION catch up...
- Cant be SUSTAINED...
- Its FAKE NEWS ...etc etc
certain individuals with backgrounds of a Chartered Accountant / Business Analyst - may try to spend a few hours - read the Balance Sheets , the Assets statements and make some kind of vague predictions about the future .
My Question --- Why doesnt anyone make a Bold and Authoritative statement saying - YES a Quarter from now this very Org will perform like this ( if a publicly traded org. ) then the STOCK PRICE would be within this range ( thin range )
My Answer --- ( Trying to answer my own question )
- Highly knowledgeable and niche-skilled resources required.
- Such resources - when they shall predict the ( thin range ) point value , predictions , will not publish them publicly for everyone's benefit.
- A proper and definitive - SWOT analysis - Not possible - Not enough information available publicly.
- Waayyy too many Variables .
- Data Shift - the variables that impact the Org's success / success of the market / domain , the org. operates in - itself may change.
- Competition strengthens its own weak points after reading / buying analysts reports about - target org , thus freely published analysis never available.
Business Idea --- Why not use ML and Rule Based coding and automate / semi-automate this prediction process ?
My Lament --- Why dont i do this inplace of publishing lame blog posts ? Well Firstly - Forgotten most of the Corporate Finance i had studied back in 2009 - 2010 . Also havent had time to revise all the Statistics and Business Analytics i studied back in 2013 . Also not enough funding ? All the core Finance people i know of are busy hedging their own personal risk :)
Noob / Non Financial Background readers can read further here ----
https://www.investopedia.com/investing/why-do-companies-care-about-their-stock-prices/
Linkedin post which again sparked this thought today ... almost Six month back i did start off with pyFinTrader to peruse in this direction will need to get back my focus there soon ...
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